The Wall Street Journal had an article in the July 26 issue that poses this problem. It may be worth your read to ponder this question. A few brief excerpts:
... car makers in the foreseeable future will likely have to build fleets that average about 35 miles per gallon. But what kinds of cars and trucks will gasoline-guzzling Americans drive to achieve that average?
The answer would seem to lie in Europe, where fuel prices are roughly double U.S. ... more than half of the vehicles ... diesel-powered engines. ... Vehicles in Europe ... average of 35 mpg. ...
cars in Europe are more expensive, pound for pound, and typically far less powerful than the vehicles Americans have come to expect.
These statements seem to be the main concerns that Americans may have to face up to, but what are the answers. The WSJ offers a few. Read on
Yep, Honda will be selling diesel versions of the Civic, Accord, and CR-V, in the U.S., by 2009/10. I believe the Civics are supposed to get over 50 mpg in mixed driving, and meet the new air quality standards... and provide plenty of low end torque. Yeah, I think I can live with that.
Posted by: averagejoe | June 27, 2007 at 02:50 AM
This is another negative article from the WSJ to degrade America. I think it would be positive to have American cars average 35mpg. No one needs to sacrifice performance. I plan to buy from an innovative company that provides both efficiency and performance in their product. Anyone who reads the Energy Blog realizes this is possible and coming. America’s transportation requirements are different than that of Europe… not better or worse…just different. Our country is spread out, etc. etc.
Posted by: JohnBo | June 27, 2007 at 03:01 AM
Way to go, WSJ! We all know that the real measure of a car is the cost per pound. Less cost is always better - and a better value for the consumer. Just like cold cuts, butter and Yugos!
[Strike up Soviet Anthem, ala "the Hunt For Red October" Sean Connery's voice comes over a loudspeaker in the din and bleak expanse of a working (and very dirty) truck plant.]
"Comrades, today we have achieved glorious coup over Decadent American Capitalists and their running-dog lackeys! Today, Soviet Union has produced diesel truck far cheaper pound-for-pound than anything Capitalist Pigs produce. Let's all celebrate by starting truck and replacing engine for first time!"
Let's see how many of WSJ's editors apply this little gem of a rule in their own personal life.
Posted by: Hugh | June 27, 2007 at 08:24 AM
Europe has regulated oil prices. Meaning it's either expensive, or absent.
It's been absent a few times, like currently in Iran. That's soo much better. *cough*. Fortunately it's been a (long) while.
Current price for diesel is 5.59958555 dollars per gallon
Current price for gasoline is 7.36760755 dollars per gallon
Still like europe's fuel ?
Posted by: Tom | June 27, 2007 at 08:31 AM
Tom, gas and diesel are both $7.45 here locally (Aberystwyth, Wales, UK). No societal collapse yet.
Posted by: JN2 | June 27, 2007 at 08:46 AM
Tom, check out the today's news on Iraq.
Violence flares as Iran introduces petrol rationing
Posted by: Tim | June 27, 2007 at 09:02 PM
Well Tom, I for one will welcome a greater range of vehicle choices. I've been pining for a decent diesel vehicle for quite some time, but pretty much the only thing available is VW (crap) or absurdly oversized and ridiculously inefficient American trucks (no thanks, I'm perfectly adequate in the penis size department). I want something efficient, not extravagant. I'd very much prefer to buy American, but since American car companies have chosen to ignore me, I'll be happy to buy from someone else.
It shouldn't be a mystery to anyone why American car companies are in the crapper. They are still thinking in 20th century terms---hell, same thing can be said for our entire economy. God forbid we Americans should actually get ahead of the technological curve. If some of the dinosaurs here had their way, we'd still be getting around in steam-powered locomotives.
Posted by: Coyote | June 27, 2007 at 09:45 PM
DaimlerChrysler produces everthing you see here in a TurboDiesel version for the EU market. Often the milage is 50%-75% better than NAFTA-market gas engines. Power stays the between the same and markedly better.
$6 & $7/gal fuel reflects 2 trains of thought....1) tax them into efficiency, 2) tax them to pay for the social programs the voters so desire!
Our diesel emissions laws are much tighter over here than across the pond. Soot, oxides of nitrogen, CO2, CO, all these are considerably tougher to reach emissions limits. There are new hydrogen-on-demand devices on the market that can clean-up diesel emissions considerably,...while increasing fuel milage by 10%-20%.
DaimlerChrysler feels that there is a better investment value for our customers to drive CleanDiesel-powered vehicles VS gasoline/electric hybrids.
There is a EU-market 300C with a 3.0L TD, that performs like the HEMI and gets 41mpg!
It's coming, that's the short-term future in automotive drivetrains to meet the needs of the customer.
Posted by: Don B. | June 27, 2007 at 10:07 PM
"If some of the dinosaurs here had their way, we'd still be getting around in steam-powered locomotives."
That might not be such a bad thing. Automotive steam engines had some fairly impressive advantages: plenty of torque, flex fuel capability, no need for transmissions, and inherently cleaner fuel combustion. Later models recycled their steam and could travel 1500 miles before their 24 gallon water tank needed to be refilled. Some models took as little as thirty seconds to warm up the boiler. Imagine what could be done with 2007 technology. I've often wondered what our society would be like if steam autos rather than internal combustion engines had dominated the marketplace.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doble_Steam_Car
Posted by: averagejoe | June 27, 2007 at 10:31 PM
Yes, fuel efficiency is important. But we have 40+ car options now and they are not by-and-large prevalent. You still see more trucks in California than Civics or Mini Coopers (both with 35+ MPG). So I think we have enough data to show that euro-style cars aren't going to be well-adopted by the American public.
Further, I think the issue here is structural. European cities tend to be compact with narrow streets. But most of America's cities - particularly in big car consumer states (California, Texas) are sprawling. So while more fuel efficient euro-style cars would be nice, we have a built-in consumption based on how our cities are constructed. Further, unlike Europeans, Americans tend to be more outdoors-oriented and require towing capacity. You can't live in the Land of 1000 Lakes (Minnesota) and expect to get around in a Zap car. If you want a boat, you need a truck that can pull a boat AND stand up to a winter that rivals Siberia. So this isn't such a straight forward answer.
Posted by: Doug | June 28, 2007 at 12:39 AM
With Oil prices set to rise and rise (my prediction is $75 per barrel by end of year)...
American's - my friends - need to wake up and start making sensible moves towards greater fuel efficiency.
Posted by: Mark C R UK | June 28, 2007 at 09:04 AM
PS. I drive a 48 MPG "super mini" - Fiat Punto.
Fast agile and easy to drive.
Posted by: Mark C R UK | June 28, 2007 at 09:05 AM
As usual, the mainstream media is indulging in "Soundbite" journalism. Sure, there are some silly people who drive SUV's and only leave the pavement one day a year. In reality, the majority of Americans would welcome a wider range of fuel efficient vehicles. Small cars like VW rabbits, Honda civics, and Geo metros sold quite well in the U.S. Nowdays, you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a Mini Cooper, Yaris, or Prius. Bottom line: don't believe everything you hear on CNN (or the BBC).
Posted by: averagejoe | June 28, 2007 at 04:58 PM
Doug - "But most of America's cities - particularly in big car consumer states (California, Texas) are sprawling. So while more fuel efficient euro-style cars would be nice, we have a built-in consumption based on how our cities are constructed. Further, unlike Europeans, Americans tend to be more outdoors-oriented and require towing capacity."
So that would be different from Australia how? We have much smaller cars on average and many of the European models make it here and we buy them. Petrol is AUD$1.30 per litre and most people cannot afford the huge SUVs that are so common in the US. You see a few however most people drive smaller cars and have smaller lighter boats that can be lifted out of the water with normal cars.
In Western Australia I can drive for 400km to the next significant town north of Perth and there are only 3 small communities in the way. The next one further I have driven there in a company Prius as well as a 4cyl small car passing 2 trailer road trains on the way. I survived OK. People here camp and have boats and seem to survive with smaller cars.
Posted by: Ender | June 28, 2007 at 07:41 PM
typo - "The next one further I have driven there in a company Prius as well as a 4cyl small car passing 2 trailer road trains on the way. I survived OK."
Should read:
I have driven there in a company Prius as well as a 4cyl small car passing 2 trailer road trains on the way. I survived OK.
Posted by: Ender | June 28, 2007 at 09:55 PM
The Fiat Punto - I drive has a tow bar. It's a 1.4 litre engine (Unleaded - usually using 95 RON fuel).
My father and I have towed back more than 1.5 tonnes on a trailer over 150 miles. No problem whatsover. All street legal.
Also on M62 through Pennines - highest motoway in England - 1442 feet at Saddleworth moor M62. This towing involved going up and down some MAJORLY large hills and steep inclines.
What I am trying to say is that - unless people are towing stupidly large things or do not load correctly this is when the problems occur - that these things can really require professional haulage (like Mobile homes I've seen some stupidity in towing them before!!!)...
So a European car like this is more than up to the task of towing say 1-1.5 tonnes on a decently fitted/loaded trailer - with good tires and legal fittings.
Most post-2000's vehicles are since they are far more power/fuel efficient on the rare occasions you are towing.
So don't believe the nonsense of requring huge vehicles for towing.
If you're towing more than 2 tonnes - you oughta be getting professional haulage help anyway i.e. a truck designed for this.
For joe bloggs consumers - European cars are more than up to the task of daily tasks.
Posted by: Mark C R UK | June 29, 2007 at 05:55 AM
I just have to ask a question of my American friends...
How many of you actually drive these SUVs OFF ROAD in full 4*4 mode?
Is it legal to have how many millions damaging the countryside in that way??!?!
I say the same thing to British people here - that don't own a farm or anything yet have rediculously large vehicles like these. The weather in parts of Wales, Scotland and the north of England can be bad. But even then most people don't live in isolation to warrant vehicles like I've seen on the roads.
Jeep and Hummer are trying to enter the UK market majorly. They'll fail - since it's saturated now by LR and mitsubishi and a variety others.
Plus I was at a car auction recently. The numbers of 4*4s (or as American's call them SUVs) being sold there was astonishing.....
Does that not tell you something?
Posted by: Mark C R UK | June 29, 2007 at 06:14 AM
It tells me ... that a significant number of consumers are wanting rid of their SUVs....
I also noted the elevated (on usual price of the "Super Mini" classification vehicles). Partly as a result of Eastern European immigrants (in the auction I was in) competing and driving prices up...
But also because in general - Super Mini are in high demand since fuel prices are continuing to rise or at the least... there is no chance of them coming down any time soon....
Posted by: Mark C R UK | June 29, 2007 at 06:25 AM
Just out of curiosity, what does a Fiat Punto cost over there? Sadly, the smallest diesel offered in the U.S., that I know of, is the VW Beetle. I've heard that diesel versions of the Toyota Yaris and Suzuki Swift are offered in European markets. If the gasoline powered Yaris sells for about $13k here, then a ballpark estimate for the diesel version would be around $16k-$17k. That's another car that I wouldn't mind buying.
Posted by: averagejoe | June 29, 2007 at 11:11 PM
to average joe:
"So that would be different from Australia how? We have much smaller cars on average and many of the European models make it here and we buy them."
The difference is we Americans are not allowed to buy the effient cars of the rest of the world. Our NHTSA forbids us to. You and Europe and Japan can buy more fuel efficient cars because you share ECE regulations. These are also safer than cars built to meet NHTSA standards. US
"...regulations are based almost entirely on SAE standards, which were written almost entirely by US automakers.
The results of this regulatory philosophy and practice do not support a safety-related basis for the prohibition on ECE vehicles: despite the sizeable auto safety lead enjoyed by the USA in the 1960s, by 2002 the US had sunk to 16th place(behind Australia, Austria, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Great Britain, Iceland, Japan, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland) in terms of deaths per thousand vehicles. In terms of deaths per 100 million miles, the USA had dropped from first place to tenth place. With the partial exception of Canada, all of the countries achieving better safety results either require or permit vehicles built to comply with the ECE regulations, not the US regulations.
Traffic death totals, all from government-published data (FARS for US), show the safety performance of three comparison countries that are otherwise similar to the US."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Highway_Traffic_Safety_Administration
Posted by: Susan K | July 01, 2007 at 12:09 AM
Susan,
Good post, but I think you have me confused with Ender. My post was right above his.
Posted by: averagejoe | July 01, 2007 at 02:35 AM
I hope we don't settle for the paltry mileage increase from the european mode of diesels and patrallel hybrids.
200+ mpg is now possible with designs like the gM Volt. Plugin serial hybrids run at full power and speed on plugin battery power alone for the first 40 miles, more than covering the average trip length without burning any gas. They run after that on backup generators operating on regular gas or diesel.
This is the technology our government ought to encourage with vehicle fleet purchasing and tax incentives. It saves the most gas and GHG.
Posted by: amazingdrx | July 01, 2007 at 08:42 AM
Caution!! A note to posters and JIM.
This blog is problematic (as is everything internet most of the time), copy your post before hitting POST. Or it maybe lost forever. The second try, after pasting back into a new comment box seems to work though.
Save your post! Control+C before posting just in case.
Posted by: amazingdrx | July 01, 2007 at 08:46 AM
Averagejoe's dream car for the next ten years:
A serial diesel/electric plugin hybrid with a 40 mile EV range. The motor would be a Symetron P-2 by Raser. The battery system would be affordable and durable (Firefly, EuroPositron, or EEstor). Finally, the diesel generator would incorporate Scuderi technology which would improve mileage and reduce the overall cost.
That's not asking too much, right?
Posted by: averagejoe | July 01, 2007 at 02:32 PM
Dream car? Well good thread joe.
Mine would be a 50 hp electric car with the firefly batteries for a 60 mile range, with a solid oxide fuel cell/microturbine backup generator of around 25 kw. All this packed into my Honda station wagon minus the ICE of course.
Dream motorcyle?
Green hog, with a 20 hp electric motor and lithium ion A123 batteries for a 40 mile range with a 5kw backup solid oxide fuel cell/microturbine.
I would make my own solar and wind electricty and biodiesel from used cooking grease for fuel. when parked I would run biogas from a digestor through the fuel cells to sell power to the power company. likewise with solar and wind electricity, sold to the utility.
Posted by: amazingdrx | July 01, 2007 at 06:41 PM
Susan K - you are absolutely right about the safety of small cars. Designed properly with crumple zones and airbags small cars can be at least as safe as larger cars as the figures for road deaths show where smaller average car size fleets do not have higher road deaths than larger average car size fleets.
As I argued on this blog before there are so many factors in road deaths more important than vehicle size that arguing for large cars on safety grounds is pointless.
Posted by: Ender | July 01, 2007 at 09:53 PM
About EuroPostitron - are they for real? Haven't heard about the aluminum battery in quite some time. The energy density that's being claimed is insane, and all other specs are really good too.
Aluminum batteries are sometimes being used as a propulsion system for torpedos. But those are not rechargeable (don't need that in a torpedo, obviously!)
If they can make that secondary (rechargeable) aluminum battery with those specs...
Couldn't find any peer-review about it though, which is suspicious...
Posted by: Calamity | July 02, 2007 at 05:10 AM
There is a zinc/air battery system that is rechargeable. When producing electricity it combines zinc pellets with air in an electrolyte solution, the zinc oxide dissolves in the solution.
When it is recharging it turns the zinc oxide in solution back into zinc pellets. The problem is efficiency. only 40% of the recharge power comes out of the system due to the pump and blower that is needed to make it all work.
Too bad, maybe a simpler more efficient design using a nano-catalyst screen of some kind could raise that efficiency?
Posted by: amazingdrx | July 02, 2007 at 08:31 AM
Average Joe - A decent generic Super mini class would be around £9995 - 14995 BPS
Although the high £ - $ USD exchange rate skews the comparison at the moment....
... To Susan K... there is one for certain Anglo-American consumer group putting pressure on converging EU and US safety regualtions...
in an era where US-EU trade is around £1.5 billion A DAY $3billion - its a vital relationship for us both.
Posted by: Mark C R UK | July 02, 2007 at 11:23 AM
* that was brand new on the road fee.
There is significant variation however, and (us) British consumers have been complaining a long time the fact that the manufacturers seem to put the price up compared to continental Europe (unjustifiably).
Hence the large number of Brits whom are buying from elsewhere in Europe and either making arrangements for right hand drive vehicles needed for our roads.
I'm eager to see what "average joe" makes of these super mini classification as a whole? You think US vehicle's are over sized and priced?
- I must say the Toyota Yaris you mention, and the smaller Aygo are two pretty nice vehicles. *I have a Toyota engine plant near where I live*. The Aygo for my demographic (early-mid twenties) looks particuarly well suited....
Posted by: Mark C R UK | July 02, 2007 at 11:31 AM
Ender wrote: Designed properly with crumple zones and airbags small cars can be at least as safe as larger cars
...At the same production-cost?
Ender wrote: the figures for road deaths show [...] smaller average car size fleets do not have higher road deaths than larger average car size fleets.
Which figures are you referring to?
IIHS Status Report, Vol. 42, No. 4, April 19, 2007
iihs.org/sr/pdfs/sr4204.pdf
"Driver deaths per million registered vehicle years, 2001-04 models during 2002-05"
CARS - overall and single-vehicle
2,500 lbs. or less - 94 - 38
2,501-3,000 lbs. - 115 - 50
3,001-3,500 lbs. - 77 - 33
3,501-4,000 lbs. - 55 - 19
4,001-4,500 lbs. - 38 - 16
4,501-5,000 lbs. - 34 - 15
IIHS Status Report, Vol. 40, No. 3, March 19, 2005
iihs.org/sr/pdfs/sr4003.pdf
"Driver deaths per million registered vehicle years, 1999-2002 models during 2000-03"
CARS - overall and single-vehicle
2,500 lbs. or less - 115 - 42
2,501-3,000 lbs. - 102 - 46
3,001-3,500 lbs. - 84 - 39
3,501-4,000 lbs. - 56 - 23
4,001-4,500 lbs. - 47 - 20
4,501-5,000 lbs. - -- - --
Ender wrote: there are so many factors in road deaths more important than vehicle size that arguing for large cars on safety grounds is pointless.
Please show your math.
Posted by: Nucbuddy | July 02, 2007 at 01:04 PM
Mark,
I got a look (online) at a Fiat Punto yesterday and it is a very nice looking car, indeed. For my needs, it would be just the right size. The only concern I have is the Punto's ground clearance. In the picture, it looked a bit low to the ground... but maybe it was just the camera angle. I would agree that most of us in the U.S. could survive quite nicely with a smaller car. Super Minis and small station wagons would be just fine for everyday commuting cars. Of course, some people use larger vehicles ( trucks) for work, but that doesn't explain all the soccer moms I see driving by themselves in huge Ford Explorers.
Posted by: averagejoe | July 02, 2007 at 04:30 PM
Calamity,
I don't know whether EuroPositron is legit or not. On the one hand, they did win the Frost and Sullivan award for technological innovation in 2005 which is supposed to be a big deal. Firefly won the same award in 2006. On the other hand, they are still in the research phase. They claim to have a new technology that would make rechargeable aluminum batteries possible. Supposedly, they have eliminated the problem of Aluminum Hydroxide fouling. Some of the performance benchmarks claimed are a bit extreme:
from http://www.europositron.com/en/background.html
Energy Density/Volume: 2100 Wh/litre
Energy Density/Weight: 1330 Wh/kg
Cycle Life: 3000+ cycles
Minimum Working Temperature: - 40C
Maximum Working Temperature: +70C
Life: 10-30 years
Discharge Rate: Adjustable
From what I read, they say that a working prototype and third party verification is two years away. That's assuming an adequate level of funding. For right now, I'd put this one in the "Wait and See" category.
Posted by: averagejoe | July 02, 2007 at 05:05 PM
In response to Mark about traffic deaths, you need to add SUV deaths and then campare that to cars. That clearly shows that pound for pound cars are safer than the same size Suuu-Veee, (calling hogs). I can't wait till my Smart Fortwo gets hear. Some of use overweight Americans welcome small cars.
We will all be safer when they stay off-road.
Posted by: Caroll | July 05, 2007 at 01:11 PM
amazingdrx,
Well, it finally happened. Your ship has come in:
"An engineering team at Imperial College London has developed and bench-tested a series-hybrid powertrain that combines an intermediate-temperature solid oxide fuel cell (IT-SOFC) with a ZEBRA sodium nickel-chloride battery..."
Geez, now I've gone and done it. DRX will never shut up about SOFC's now...
http://www.greencarcongress.com/2007/06/the-absolute-hy.html
Posted by: averagejoe | July 08, 2007 at 01:50 AM
SUV's / 4x4's / gas drinking vehicles... Americans have a love affair with their cars; many people think bigger is better. What about the (ever-growing) bigger hole in the ozone layer? Is that better too? I don't think so! Granted, a smaller car is typically not able to have the same carrying capacity as an SUV but, they generally get better mileage and some don't even burn fossil fuels! The Brazilian OBVIO - Electric Car
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