Proven Technology for the Next 20 Years

With oil probably peaking in less than 20 years, if not five years, the more I think we need an alternative to the emphasis being placed on the hydrogen economy.  Demonstrated and emerging technology as listed below likely to be the dominant technologies in the next thirty years.  None of these technologies alone can get us there but together but in some combination they make sense.

• The hybrid is here and can be ramped up as fast as anything.
• Diesel technology can be used now, and should be, as lower sulfur fuels are brought to market in 2005-2006. They will reduce the environmental impact of diesels significantly.  What we need is more models to choose from as there are very few.
• Electric cars and plug-in hybrids for commuting and shopping will be more attractive, with greater range, as gasoline prices go up and battery technology gets better as it is starting to.
• Unconventional oil is already starting to ramp up and will continue as oil companies cannot meet the demand.
• Ethanol production is already significant with 3.4 billion gallons produced in the US in 2004.
• Production costs for biodiesel can be reduced by using newer technologies.
• The Fischer-Tropsh process can be used to produce both ethanol and diesel in larger quantities, at lower cost, than current biofuel producers.  It can handle a much wider variety of feedstocks, like switchgrass, corn stover, wood chips, willows and poplars which are less costly.
• Coal liquefaction is a proven technology and could supply all of our needs, but not in the required time period.
• We can increase our electrical production from renewables like wind and solar systems.
• More rapid development of unconventional oil in Canada and Venezula.

Comments

[M Martin]

This is a pretty good one here!

[Matt D. Olson]

It should be noted that the EPA has removed diesel from being burned in most aircraft and required cleaner burning Jet A and Jet A1.
The use of Red diesel commonly referred to as high surfer diesel fuel which has cancerous causing effects has also been mostly removed from use in the United States, the sulfur content has been reduced
substantially to ultra low contents.

Glasnoft Oil & Gas Company
www.Glasnoft.com
Washington State Oil & Gas Company.

[Solar Power Installation]

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[Aleks]

Excellent post. Crude oil and Natural Gas production drop from day to day. Diesel and Gasoline age being finishes. Future will be poweres from biofuels

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[hot dog rollers]

Electric cars and plug-in hybrids for commuting and shopping will be more attractive, with greater range, as gasoline prices go up and battery technology gets better as it is starting to.